Jake Bernstein's JBXC Complete
The Expansion Contraction indicator, created by Brian Latta, provides enormous insight into a security's market status. Based on Jake Bernstein's Moving Average Channel method, it identifies:
- Long-term trend and trend strength
- Short-term swing and swing strength
- Range expansion and contraction
- Support and resistance levels
- Overbought/oversold conditions
- Divergences
- Short-term breakouts
Expansion Contraction compares two price points (the high and the low), up or down, through the MAC settings. Since Expansion Contraction measures every period (chart setting), it's technically considered "concurrent" (not a lagging indicator). A second high and low comparison uses a longer lookback moving average channel.
Long-Term Trends
The shaded part of the Expansion Contraction
indicator is the cloud. It represents the instrument's long-term
trend. A green cloud indicates an upward trend, whereas a red cloud
denotes a downward trend. The clouds expand as their trends grow
stronger and contract as the trends weaken. If the cloud is less than
one standard deviation, then there is no effective trend. The
instrument is in a period of consolidation.
Short-Term Swings
The Expansion Contraction indicator's thick red
and green lines measure the strength of short-term trends (swings).
The green line represents the upswing, while the red line is the
downswing. Whichever line is higher determines the current swing.
Similar to the cloud, if the top line increases, the swing grows
stronger. A decreasing top line is a weakening swing. If both lines
are within one standard deviation, the short-term trend consolidates.
Range
The Expansion Contraction indicator measures the range by
the height of the cloud. If one trend is taller than the previous
trend, the range is expanding, indicating that the current trend is
stronger than the preceding one. Conversely, if the current trend is
shorter, the range is contracting, and the trend is (currently)
weaker. Please note that a trend may require time to exceed the range
of the previous trend. That means a trend may show as weaker until it
grows to exceed the prior trend.
Overbought and Oversold
JBXC calls the events Overbought or
Oversold conditions, but Brian Latta prefers to say they are points of
limited upside or downside potential. He defines these as events where
the Expansion Contraction indicator moves beyond two standard
deviations. JBXC Complete does not label those events on your chart
but does note them in the expert commentary.
Divergence
The Expansion Contraction indicator can detect
short-term and long-term divergences. Short-term divergences occur
between the swings and the prices. Long-term divergences are between
the cloud and the prices. A bearish divergence happens when the prices
make a new high, but the green cloud (or upswing) fails to make a
similar new high. A bullish divergence occurs when the prices make a
new low, but the red cloud (or downswing) does not make a new high.
Short-Term Breakouts
Short-term breakouts occur when the top line
of the Expansion Contraction indicator falls and then turns up. The
first bar (and only the first bar) is the breakout.
Jake Bernstein's JBXC Complete includes everything below:
- 3 Expert Advisors
- 2 System Tests
- 12 Expert Commentaries
- 7 Explorations
- The JBXC - Keltner Indicator
- The JBXC - Expansion Complete Template
About Jake Bernstein
Jake Bernstein is an internationally recognized market analyst, trader, and author. He has written over 44 books, numerous research studies, and newsletters on futures trading, stock trading, trader psychology & economic forecasting.
Mr. Bernstein is the publisher of several market reports. Now presented in digital media video format, The Jake Bernstein Online Weekly Capital Markets Report and Analysis has been published every week since 1972 without interruption.
Starting with trading futures and stocks in 1968, Jake has appeared frequently on radio and television throughout the United States and Canada. He has been a guest on numerous business radio and television shows, including Wall Street Week, CNBC, JagFN.TV and WebTV.com.
Mr. Bernstein also lectured extensively in the United States, Canada, and Asia. His forecasts and opinions are quoted frequently in the financial press and on numerous websites. Mr. Bernstein is a consultant to investors, traders, industry, financial institutions, short-term traders, brokerage firms, and commercial firms. His market advisory services are subscribed to by floor traders, professional traders, money managers, both new and experienced traders and hedgers, the world over.
Jake has pioneered numerous technical, cyclical, and seasonal methodologies in the futures markets.